Derivative (finance)

A derivative is a financial instrument - or more simply, an agreement between two people or two parties - that has a value determined by the price of something else (called the underlying).[1] It is a financial contract with a value linked to the expected future price movements of the asset it is linked to - such as a share or a currency. There are many kinds of derivatives, with the most notable being swaps, futures, and options. However, since a derivative can be placed on any sort of security, the scope of all derivatives possible is nearly endless. Thus, the real definition of a derivative is an agreement between two parties that is contingent on a future outcome of the underlying.

Referring to derivatives as stand-alone assets would be a misconception, since a derivative is incapable of having value of its own. However, some more commonplace derivatives, such as swaps, futures, and options, (which have a theoretical face value that can be calculated using formulas, such as Black-Scholes), have been traded on markets before their expiration date as if they were assets. Amongst the earlier derivatives, rice futures have been traded on the Dojima Rice Exchange since 1710.

Contents

Categorization

Derivatives are usually broadly categorized by the:

Another arbitrary distinction is between:[2]

There is no definitive rule for distinguishing one from the other, so the distinction is mostly a matter of custom.

Uses

Derivatives are used by investors to

Hedging

Hedging is a technique that attempts to reduce risk. In this respect, derivatives can be considered a form of insurance.

Derivatives allow risk about the price of the underlying asset to be transferred from one party to another. For example, a wheat farmer and a miller could sign a futures contract to exchange a specified amount of cash for a specified amount of wheat in the future. Both parties have reduced a future risk: for the wheat farmer, the uncertainty of the price, and for the miller, the availability of wheat. However, there is still the risk that no wheat will be available because of events unspecified by the contract, like the weather, or that one party will renege on the contract. Although a third party, called a clearing house, insures a futures contract, not all derivatives are insured against counter-party risk.

From another perspective, the farmer and the miller both reduce a risk and acquire a risk when they sign the futures contract: The farmer reduces the risk that the price of wheat will fall below the price specified in the contract and acquires the risk that the price of wheat will rise above the price specified in the contract (thereby losing additional income that he could have earned). The miller, on the other hand, acquires the risk that the price of wheat will fall below the price specified in the contract (thereby paying more in the future than he otherwise would) and reduces the risk that the price of wheat will rise above the price specified in the contract. In this sense, one party is the insurer (risk taker) for one type of risk, and the counter-party is the insurer (risk taker) for another type of risk.

Hedging also occurs when an individual or institution buys an asset (like a commodity, a bond that has coupon payments, a stock that pays dividends, and so on) and sells it using a futures contract. The individual or institution has access to the asset for a specified amount of time, and then can sell it in the future at a specified price according to the futures contract. Of course, this allows the individual or institution the benefit of holding the asset while reducing the risk that the future selling price will deviate unexpectedly from the market's current assessment of the future value of the asset.

Derivatives traders at the Chicago Board of Trade.

Derivatives serve a legitimate business purpose. For example, a corporation borrows a large sum of money at a specific interest rate.[3] The rate of interest on the loan resets every six months. The corporation is concerned that the rate of interest may be much higher in six months. The corporation could buy a forward rate agreement (FRA). A forward rate agreement is a contract to pay a fixed rate of interest six months after purchases on a notional sum of money.[4] If the interest rate after six months is above the contract rate, the seller pays the difference to the corporation, or FRA buyer. If the rate is lower, the corporation would pay the difference to the seller. The purchase of the FRA would serve to reduce the uncertainty concerning the rate increase and stabilize earnings.

Speculation and arbitrage

Derivatives can be used to acquire risk, rather than to insure or hedge against risk. Thus, some individuals and institutions will enter into a derivative contract to speculate on the value of the underlying asset, betting that the party seeking insurance will be wrong about the future value of the underlying asset. Speculators will want to be able to buy an asset in the future at a low price according to a derivative contract when the future market price is high, or to sell an asset in the future at a high price according to a derivative contract when the future market price is low.

Individuals and institutions may also look for arbitrage opportunities, as when the current buying price of an asset falls below the price specified in a futures contract to sell the asset.

Speculative trading in derivatives gained a great deal of notoriety in 1995 when Nick Leeson, a trader at Barings Bank, made poor and unauthorized investments in futures contracts. Through a combination of poor judgment, lack of oversight by the bank's management and by regulators, and unfortunate events like the Kobe earthquake, Leeson incurred a $1.3 billion loss that bankrupted the centuries-old institution.[5]

Types of derivatives

OTC and exchange-traded

In broad terms, there are two distinct groups of derivative contracts, which are distinguished by the way they are traded in the market:

Common derivative contract types

There are three major classes of derivatives:

  1. Futures/Forwards are contracts to buy or sell an asset on or before a future date at a price specified today. A futures contract differs from a forward contract in that the futures contract is a standardized contract written by a clearing house that operates an exchange where the contract can be bought and sold, whereas a forward contract is a non-standardized contract written by the parties themselves.
  2. Options are contracts that give the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy (in the case of a call option) or sell (in the case of a put option) an asset. The price at which the sale takes place is known as the strike price, and is specified at the time the parties enter into the option. The option contract also specifies a maturity date. In the case of a European option, the owner has the right to require the sale to take place on (but not before) the maturity date; in the case of an American option, the owner can require the sale to take place at any time up to the maturity date. If the owner of the contract exercises this right, the counter-party has the obligation to carry out the transaction.
  3. Swaps are contracts to exchange cash (flows) on or before a specified future date based on the underlying value of currencies/exchange rates, bonds/interest rates, commodities, stocks or other assets.

More complex derivatives can be created by combining the elements of these basic types. For example, the holder of a swaption has the right, but not the obligation, to enter into a swap on or before a specified future date.

Examples

The overall derivatives market has five major classes of underlying asset:

Some common examples of these derivatives are:

UNDERLYING CONTRACT TYPES
Exchange-traded futures Exchange-traded options OTC swap OTC forward OTC option
Equity DJIA Index future
Single-stock future
Option on DJIA Index future
Single-share option
Equity swap Back-to-back
Repurchase agreement
Stock option
Warrant
Turbo warrant
Interest rate Eurodollar future
Euribor future
Option on Eurodollar future
Option on Euribor future
Interest rate swap Forward rate agreement Interest rate cap and floor
Swaption
Basis swap
Bond option
Credit Bond future Option on Bond future Credit default swap
Total return swap
Repurchase agreement Credit default option
Foreign exchange Currency future Option on currency future Currency swap Currency forward Currency option
Commodity WTI crude oil futures Weather derivatives Commodity swap Iron ore forward contract Gold option

Other examples of underlying exchangeables are:

Valuation

Total world derivatives from 1998-2007[11] compared to total world wealth in the year 2000[12]

Market and arbitrage-free prices

Two common measures of value are:

Determining the market price

For exchange-traded derivatives, market price is usually transparent (often published in real time by the exchange, based on all the current bids and offers placed on that particular contract at any one time). Complications can arise with OTC or floor-traded contracts though, as trading is handled manually, making it difficult to automatically broadcast prices. In particular with OTC contracts, there is no central exchange to collate and disseminate prices.

Determining the arbitrage-free price

The arbitrage-free price for a derivatives contract is complex, and there are many different variables to consider. Arbitrage-free pricing is a central topic of financial mathematics. The stochastic process of the price of the underlying asset is often crucial. A key equation for the theoretical valuation of options is the Black–Scholes formula, which is based on the assumption that the cash flows from a European stock option can be replicated by a continuous buying and selling strategy using only the stock. A simplified version of this valuation technique is the binomial options model.

Criticism

Derivatives are often subject to the following criticisms:

Possible large losses

The use of derivatives can result in large losses because of the use of leverage, or borrowing. Derivatives allow investors to earn large returns from small movements in the underlying asset's price. However, investors could lose large amounts if the price of the underlying moves against them significantly. There have been several instances of massive losses in derivative markets, such as:

  • The need to recapitalize insurer American International Group (AIG) with $85 billion of debt provided by the US federal government.[13] An AIG subsidiary had lost more than $18 billion over the preceding three quarters on Credit Default Swaps (CDS) it had written.[14] It was reported that the recapitalization was necessary because further losses were foreseeable over the next few quarters.
  • The loss of $7.2 Billion by Société Générale in January 2008 through mis-use of futures contracts.
  • The loss of US$6.4 billion in the failed fund Amaranth Advisors, which was long natural gas in September 2006 when the price plummeted.
  • The loss of US$4.6 billion in the failed fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998.
  • The loss of US$1.3 billion equivalent in oil derivatives in 1993 and 1994 by Metallgesellschaft AG.[15]
  • The loss of US$1.2 billion equivalent in equity derivatives in 1995 by Barings Bank.[16]

Members of President Clinton's Working Group on Financial Markets: Larry Summers, Alan Greenspan, Arthur Levitt, and Robert Rubin, have been criticized for torpedoing an effort to regulate the derivatives' markets, and thereby helping to bring down the financial markets in Fall 2008. President George W. Bush has also been criticized because he was President for 8 years preceding the 2008 meltdown and did nothing to regulate derivative trading. Bush has stated that deregulation was one of the core tenets of his political philosophy.

Counter-party risk

Some derivatives (especially swaps) expose investors to counter-party risk.

For example, suppose a person wanting a fixed interest rate loan for his business, but finding that banks only offer variable rates, swaps payments with another business who wants a variable rate, synthetically creating a fixed rate for the person. However if the second business goes bankrupt, it can't pay its variable rate and so the first business will lose its fixed rate and will be paying a variable rate again. If interest rates have increased, it is possible that the first business may be adversely affected, because it may not be prepared to pay the higher variable rate.

Different types of derivatives have different levels of counter-party risk. For example, standardized stock options by law require the party at risk to have a certain amount deposited with the exchange, showing that they can pay for any losses; banks that help businesses swap variable for fixed rates on loans may do credit checks on both parties. However, in private agreements between two companies, for example, there may not be benchmarks for performing due diligence and risk analysis.

Large notional value

Derivatives typically have a large notional value. As such, there is the danger that their use could result in losses that the investor would be unable to compensate for. The possibility that this could lead to a chain reaction ensuing in an economic crisis, has been pointed out by famed investor Warren Buffett in Berkshire Hathaway's 2002 annual report. Buffett called them 'financial weapons of mass destruction.' The problem with derivatives is that they control an increasingly larger notional amount of assets and this may lead to distortions in the real capital and equities markets. Investors begin to look at the derivatives markets to make a decision to buy or sell securities and so what was originally meant to be a market to transfer risk now becomes a leading indicator. (See Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report for 2002)

Leverage of an economy's debt

Derivatives massively leverage the debt in an economy, making it ever more difficult for the underlying real economy to service its debt obligations, thereby curtailing real economic activity, which can cause a recession or even depression. In the view of Marriner S. Eccles, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman from November, 1934 to February, 1948, too high a level of debt was one of the primary causes of the 1920s-30s Great Depression. (See Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report for 2002)

Benefits

The use of derivatives also has its benefits:

Definitions

See also

References

  1. McDonald, R.L. (2006) Derivatives markets. Boston: Addison-Wesley
  2. Taylor, Francesca. (2007). Mastering Derivatives Markets. Prentice Hall
  3. Chisolm, Derivatives Demystified (Wiley 2004)
  4. Chisolm, Derivatives Demystified (Wiley 2004) Notional sum means there is no actual principal.
  5. News.BBC.co.uk, "How Leeson broke the bank - BBC Economy"
  6. BIS survey: The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) semi-annual OTC derivatives statistics report, for end of June 2008, shows $683.7 trillion total notional amounts outstanding of OTC derivatives with a gross market value of $20 trillion. See also Prior Period Regular OTC Derivatives Market Statistics.
  7. Hull, J.C. (2009). Options, futures, and other derivatives . Upper Saddle River, NJ : Pearson/Prentice Hall, c2009
  8. Futures and Options Week: According to figures published in F&O Week 10 October 2005. See also FOW Website.
  9. Biz.Yahoo.com
  10. FOW.com, Emissions derivatives, 1 December 2005
  11. Bis.org
  12. "Launch of the WIDER study on The World Distribution of Household Wealth: 5 December 2006". http://www.wider.unu.edu/events/past-events/2006-events/en_GB/05-12-2006/. Retrieved 9 June 2009. 
  13. Derivatives Counter-party Risk: Lessons from AIG and the Credit Crisis
  14. "Buffett's Time Bomb Goes Off on Wall Street" by James B. Kelleher of Reuters
  15. Edwards, Franklin (1995), "Derivatives Can Be Hazardous To Your Health: The Case of Metallgesellschaft", Derivatives Quarterly (Spring 1995): 8-17, http://www0.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/fedwards/papers/DerivativesCanBeHazardous.pdf 
  16. Whaley, Robert (2006). Derivatives: markets, valuation, and risk management. John Wiley and Sons. pp. 506. ISBN 0471786322. http://books.google.com/books?id=Hb7xXy-wqiYC&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_ge_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q&f=false.